Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.165365 0.186558 0.208875 0.234073 0.261678 0.290945 0.324266
2025-04-20 0.138237 0.166997 0.198918 0.236790 0.280301 0.328528 0.385820
2025-04-27 0.120923 0.154962 0.194476 0.243332 0.301683 0.368702 0.451026
2025-05-04 0.105089 0.142221 0.187130 0.244749 0.315962 0.400313 0.506931
2025-05-11 0.094037 0.133726 0.183526 0.249544 0.333601 0.435832 0.568211
2025-05-18 0.085918 0.127849 0.182250 0.256505 0.353560 0.474343 0.634036
2025-05-25 0.075912 0.118255 0.175057 0.254856 0.361853 0.497991 0.681593
2025-06-01 0.067847 0.110401 0.169314 0.254327 0.371020 0.522512 0.730505
2025-06-08 0.060826 0.103256 0.163803 0.253429 0.379191 0.545541 0.777726
2025-06-15 0.056577 0.099743 0.163018 0.258793 0.395771 0.579890 0.840513
2025-06-22 0.051410 0.094274 0.158874 0.258905 0.404756 0.603987 0.889975
2025-06-29 0.046703 0.089042 0.154610 0.258404 0.412573 0.626423 0.937486
2025-07-06 0.042226 0.083875 0.150235 0.257705 0.420387 0.649588 0.987460
2025-07-13 0.039006 0.080501 0.148378 0.260621 0.433471 0.680435 1.048862
2025-07-20 0.036937 0.078918 0.149230 0.267678 0.452867 0.720729 1.124508
2025-07-27 0.034004 0.075469 0.146729 0.269202 0.463816 0.749011 1.183672
2025-08-03 0.031997 0.073522 0.146566 0.274377 0.480422 0.785869 1.255914
2025-08-10 0.030547 0.072483 0.147847 0.281890 0.500820 0.828751 1.337785
2025-08-17 0.027763 0.068526 0.143715 0.280109 0.506384 0.849527 1.387659
2025-08-24 0.025425 0.065205 0.140450 0.279538 0.513719 0.872999 1.441871
2025-08-31 0.023250 0.061978 0.137098 0.278568 0.520246 0.895261 1.494612
2025-09-07 0.022127 0.060890 0.137634 0.284358 0.537953 0.935043 1.574403
2025-09-14 0.020406 0.058282 0.135080 0.284478 0.546169 0.960186 1.632438